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Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 revenue was $122.69M, up 16% YoY; marketplace revenue grew 24% YoY to $107.19M, and total gross profit rose 22% YoY to $47.90M; adjusted EBITDA loss improved 37% YoY to $(7.46)M but worsened sequentially vs Q4 due to higher OpEx and a weaker start to January .
  • Marketplace gross margin expanded to a record 32.0% (+320 bps YoY, +70 bps QoQ), driven by AI-powered pricing/matching and supplier network scale; supplier services margin was 87.9% after exiting low-margin tools/materials .
  • The company beat prior Q1 guidance (guided revenue $118–$120M vs actual $122.69M), and set Q2 guidance at $127–$129M with adjusted EBITDA loss of $(6)–$(8)M; FY24 outlook calls for ≥20% marketplace growth and ~10% YoY decline in supplier services revenue (policy-driven) .
  • Management emphasized enterprise engagement (Teamspace), international growth (EU expansion, 15 languages) and AI partnerships (Google Vertex AI) as catalysts; consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable, but the “beat vs company guidance” plus margin expansion are potential stock reaction drivers .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record marketplace gross margin at 32.0% (+320 bps YoY; +70 bps QoQ), reflecting algorithmic pricing/matching improvements and supplier scale: “Powered by AI, our marketplace continues to gain significant market share…” .
  • Active Buyers up 32% YoY to 58,504 with net additions of 3,179 in Q1; enterprise traction with Teamspace (2,300+ teams) and a medical device production program win .
  • International revenue up 69% YoY; localized marketplaces expanded (Czech language, 15 languages total), with long-term target of 30–40% international mix .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential step-down from Q4: revenue $128.15M → $122.69M, adjusted EBITDA loss $(2.85)M → $(7.46)M as January saw a pronounced decline in large orders and OpEx stepped up (sales force, international growth, payroll/benefits) .
  • Supplier Services revenue down 17% YoY to $15.50M due to the prior exit of tools/materials; Active Paying Suppliers declined 6% YoY (down ~2% ex tools/materials) .
  • Revenue per Active Buyer decreased 6% YoY, reflecting mix pressure from fewer large orders early in the quarter; management anchored FY24 marketplace growth to ≥20% amid macro uncertainty .

Financial Results

Core P&L and Profitability (chronological: Q3 2023 → Q4 2023 → Q1 2024)

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$118.93 $128.15 $122.69
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$46.25 $49.09 $47.90
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(4.22) $(2.85) $(7.46)
EPS (GAAP, $)$(0.25) $(0.22) $(0.34)
EPS (Non-GAAP, $)$(0.05) $(0.01) $(0.12)

Segment Mix and Margins

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Marketplace Revenue ($USD Millions)$102.47 $112.09 $107.19
Marketplace Gross Margin (%)31.1% 31.3% 32.0%
Supplier Services Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.45 $16.06 $15.50
Supplier Services Gross Margin (%)87.2% 87.3% 87.9%

Geographic Segments

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
U.S. Revenue ($USD Millions)$103.38 $110.57 $103.36
International Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.55 $17.57 $19.33

KPIs

KPIQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Active Buyers52,467 55,458 58,504
% Revenue from Existing Accounts96% 96% 95%
Accounts with LTM Spend ≥ $50K1,223 1,331 1,381
Active Paying Suppliers7,415 7,271 7,159

Estimates Comparison

Consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable at time of writing due to an SPGI retrieval error; therefore, formal Revenue/EPS/EBITDA comparisons vs Street are not shown here. Company-level comparison: Q1 revenue exceeded prior company guidance ($118–$120M) with actual $122.69M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q1 2024$118–$120 Actual: $122.69 Beat vs guidance
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q1 2024$(7)–$(9) Actual: $(7.46) Within range
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q2 2024$127–$129 New
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q2 2024$(6)–$(8) New
Marketplace Revenue GrowthFY 2024≥20% YoY ≥20% YoY Maintained
Supplier Services RevenueFY 2024Down ~10% YoY Down ~10% YoY Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA Profitability TimingQ3 2024Expected positive Not reiterated in Q1 materials; focus on breakeven at ~$600M run-rate Not reiterated

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023 and Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
AI/technology initiativesAnnounced Google Cloud Vertex AI partnership to accelerate instant quoting; Teamspace launched/integrated broadly Continued AI-powered margin gains; expect testing of new auto-quoting models in Q3; Teamspace enhanced with tooling dashboard; 2,300+ teams Building momentum; productization progressing
Enterprise engagementRapid Teamspace adoption; record net adds of accounts ≥$50K in Q4 (108) Enterprise wins (medical device injection molding production program; multi-year EU customer); expanding enterprise sales bench Strengthening enterprise traction
International growthStrong acceleration in late 2023; SOLIDWORKS plug-ins; acquisitions/expansion in EU/Asia International revenue +69% YoY; added Czech language; long-term mix target 30–40% Continuing robust growth
Macro/supply chainJanuary softness: large orders paused; prudent FY24 growth anchoring; buyers’ budgets held back Q1 early softness in large orders; guidance reflects uncertain manufacturing environment Mixed: cautious near term
Supplier services (Thomas)Modernization and pay-for-performance; self-serve bundles, verified profiles Beta-testing self-serve campaign tools; aiming to restore growth; margin >85% Rebuild phase; high-margin leverage
Product performance/menu expansionQuick-turn injection molding; instant quoting of inserts/assemblies/sheet cutting EU Vacuum Casting added; injection molding tooling dashboard; expanding instant quoting coverage Broader capabilities rolling out

Management Commentary

  • “Powered by AI, our marketplace continues to gain significant market share… In Q1 2024, we delivered better than expected revenue driven by strong 24% marketplace revenue growth… robust 32% growth in Active Buyers.” — CEO Randy Altschuler .
  • “Q1 marketplace gross margin was a record at 32.0%, up 320 basis points year-over-year and up 70 basis points quarter-over-quarter.” — CFO James Miln .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA breakeven as we surpassed an approximately $600 million annual revenue run rate… targeting a gross margin of 38% to 40%.” — CFO James Miln .
  • “We signed a multiyear agreement with a European customer… using the network of suppliers in the Xometry marketplace, this customer doesn’t need to build and manage their own supply chain.” — CEO Randy Altschuler .
  • “International revenue accounted for 18% of total marketplace revenue… we believe international can reach the 30% to 40% level in the long term.” — CEO Randy Altschuler .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance framing: Q2 revenue guidance ($127–$129M) balances healthy marketplace trends vs macro uncertainty; Q1 outperformed due to large orders improving after a soft January; FY24 anchored to ≥20% marketplace growth .
  • Revenue per Active Buyer volatility: lower due to weaker large orders mix; conversions/pricing trends remained consistent; expect active buyer growth to remain robust .
  • Thomas/advertising: modernization with pay-for-performance model; beta self-serve tools underway; aim to improve search accuracy/display and supplier ROI .
  • Google Cloud/Vertex AI: partnership accelerates new auto-quote models; no impact on current algorithms in Q1; tests expected in Q3 2024 .
  • Teamspace adoption/enterprise penetration: over 2,300 teams; used to manage tooling workflows; supports deeper enterprise engagement and revenue visibility .
  • Profitability path: breakeven at $600M run-rate, with operating expense discipline and supplier services efficiencies ($1M/quarter improvement in 2H24 vs 1H24) .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable due to a retrieval error; as a result, formal comparisons to Street Revenue/EPS/EBITDA are not provided here.
  • Company-level comparison: Q1 revenue exceeded prior company guidance ($118–$120M) with actual $122.69M; adjusted EBITDA loss fell within guided $(7)–$(9)M .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Marketplace execution remains strong: record margin (32.0%) and robust Active Buyer growth suggest Xometry’s AI pricing/matching is compounding advantage; watch mix normalization of large orders as a near-term swing factor .
  • Sequential softness was largely timing/mix: January large-order pause and OpEx step-up drove QoQ EBITDA deterioration; February improved vs January; guidance prudently embeds macro uncertainty .
  • Growth catalysts: enterprise adoption (Teamspace, ERP integrations), international expansion, and Google Vertex AI models expected to broaden instant quoting in 2H24; these should support revenue per buyer and margin over time .
  • Supplier services is a margin lever: Thomas modernization and exit of low-margin tools/materials lifted gross margins (>85%); revenue headwinds persist near term, but self-serve advertising tools could restore growth .
  • Profitability framework: management targets adjusted EBITDA breakeven at ~$600M revenue run-rate and 38–40% gross margin; near-term focus on operating leverage with FY24 marketplace growth ≥20% .
  • Evidence of market share gains: strong growth in semiconductors/industrial/aerospace/auto end-markets and expanding enterprise relationships underscore structural share capture .
  • Tactical positioning: in the absence of Street comparisons, the “beat vs company guidance” and margin expansion are positive signals; monitor Q2 mix of large orders and international momentum for confirmation of trajectory .

Additional materials reviewed:

  • Q4 2023 results and prior guidance (context for sequential comparisons) .
  • Q3 2023 results (trend context) .
  • Other PR (June 27, 2024) related to brand campaign and injection molding customer use case (context to enterprise/production capabilities) .