XI
Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2024 revenue was $122.69M, up 16% YoY; marketplace revenue grew 24% YoY to $107.19M, and total gross profit rose 22% YoY to $47.90M; adjusted EBITDA loss improved 37% YoY to $(7.46)M but worsened sequentially vs Q4 due to higher OpEx and a weaker start to January .
- Marketplace gross margin expanded to a record 32.0% (+320 bps YoY, +70 bps QoQ), driven by AI-powered pricing/matching and supplier network scale; supplier services margin was 87.9% after exiting low-margin tools/materials .
- The company beat prior Q1 guidance (guided revenue $118–$120M vs actual $122.69M), and set Q2 guidance at $127–$129M with adjusted EBITDA loss of $(6)–$(8)M; FY24 outlook calls for ≥20% marketplace growth and ~10% YoY decline in supplier services revenue (policy-driven) .
- Management emphasized enterprise engagement (Teamspace), international growth (EU expansion, 15 languages) and AI partnerships (Google Vertex AI) as catalysts; consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable, but the “beat vs company guidance” plus margin expansion are potential stock reaction drivers .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record marketplace gross margin at 32.0% (+320 bps YoY; +70 bps QoQ), reflecting algorithmic pricing/matching improvements and supplier scale: “Powered by AI, our marketplace continues to gain significant market share…” .
- Active Buyers up 32% YoY to 58,504 with net additions of 3,179 in Q1; enterprise traction with Teamspace (2,300+ teams) and a medical device production program win .
- International revenue up 69% YoY; localized marketplaces expanded (Czech language, 15 languages total), with long-term target of 30–40% international mix .
What Went Wrong
- Sequential step-down from Q4: revenue $128.15M → $122.69M, adjusted EBITDA loss $(2.85)M → $(7.46)M as January saw a pronounced decline in large orders and OpEx stepped up (sales force, international growth, payroll/benefits) .
- Supplier Services revenue down 17% YoY to $15.50M due to the prior exit of tools/materials; Active Paying Suppliers declined 6% YoY (down ~2% ex tools/materials) .
- Revenue per Active Buyer decreased 6% YoY, reflecting mix pressure from fewer large orders early in the quarter; management anchored FY24 marketplace growth to ≥20% amid macro uncertainty .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Profitability (chronological: Q3 2023 → Q4 2023 → Q1 2024)
Segment Mix and Margins
Geographic Segments
KPIs
Estimates Comparison
Consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable at time of writing due to an SPGI retrieval error; therefore, formal Revenue/EPS/EBITDA comparisons vs Street are not shown here. Company-level comparison: Q1 revenue exceeded prior company guidance ($118–$120M) with actual $122.69M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Powered by AI, our marketplace continues to gain significant market share… In Q1 2024, we delivered better than expected revenue driven by strong 24% marketplace revenue growth… robust 32% growth in Active Buyers.” — CEO Randy Altschuler .
- “Q1 marketplace gross margin was a record at 32.0%, up 320 basis points year-over-year and up 70 basis points quarter-over-quarter.” — CFO James Miln .
- “Adjusted EBITDA breakeven as we surpassed an approximately $600 million annual revenue run rate… targeting a gross margin of 38% to 40%.” — CFO James Miln .
- “We signed a multiyear agreement with a European customer… using the network of suppliers in the Xometry marketplace, this customer doesn’t need to build and manage their own supply chain.” — CEO Randy Altschuler .
- “International revenue accounted for 18% of total marketplace revenue… we believe international can reach the 30% to 40% level in the long term.” — CEO Randy Altschuler .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance framing: Q2 revenue guidance ($127–$129M) balances healthy marketplace trends vs macro uncertainty; Q1 outperformed due to large orders improving after a soft January; FY24 anchored to ≥20% marketplace growth .
- Revenue per Active Buyer volatility: lower due to weaker large orders mix; conversions/pricing trends remained consistent; expect active buyer growth to remain robust .
- Thomas/advertising: modernization with pay-for-performance model; beta self-serve tools underway; aim to improve search accuracy/display and supplier ROI .
- Google Cloud/Vertex AI: partnership accelerates new auto-quote models; no impact on current algorithms in Q1; tests expected in Q3 2024 .
- Teamspace adoption/enterprise penetration: over 2,300 teams; used to manage tooling workflows; supports deeper enterprise engagement and revenue visibility .
- Profitability path: breakeven at
$600M run-rate, with operating expense discipline and supplier services efficiencies ($1M/quarter improvement in 2H24 vs 1H24) .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable due to a retrieval error; as a result, formal comparisons to Street Revenue/EPS/EBITDA are not provided here.
- Company-level comparison: Q1 revenue exceeded prior company guidance ($118–$120M) with actual $122.69M; adjusted EBITDA loss fell within guided $(7)–$(9)M .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Marketplace execution remains strong: record margin (32.0%) and robust Active Buyer growth suggest Xometry’s AI pricing/matching is compounding advantage; watch mix normalization of large orders as a near-term swing factor .
- Sequential softness was largely timing/mix: January large-order pause and OpEx step-up drove QoQ EBITDA deterioration; February improved vs January; guidance prudently embeds macro uncertainty .
- Growth catalysts: enterprise adoption (Teamspace, ERP integrations), international expansion, and Google Vertex AI models expected to broaden instant quoting in 2H24; these should support revenue per buyer and margin over time .
- Supplier services is a margin lever: Thomas modernization and exit of low-margin tools/materials lifted gross margins (>85%); revenue headwinds persist near term, but self-serve advertising tools could restore growth .
- Profitability framework: management targets adjusted EBITDA breakeven at ~$600M revenue run-rate and 38–40% gross margin; near-term focus on operating leverage with FY24 marketplace growth ≥20% .
- Evidence of market share gains: strong growth in semiconductors/industrial/aerospace/auto end-markets and expanding enterprise relationships underscore structural share capture .
- Tactical positioning: in the absence of Street comparisons, the “beat vs company guidance” and margin expansion are positive signals; monitor Q2 mix of large orders and international momentum for confirmation of trajectory .
Additional materials reviewed:
- Q4 2023 results and prior guidance (context for sequential comparisons) .
- Q3 2023 results (trend context) .
- Other PR (June 27, 2024) related to brand campaign and injection molding customer use case (context to enterprise/production capabilities) .